03122010

2010 the warmest ever; we think not

See this article for a comparison of 2010 temperatures so far compared to 1998.

Also I seem to remember a certain Dr Jones saying that there has been no statistically significant warming since 1995. Therefore if it is not 'statistically significant' then how can we have the warmest year, and decade on record - unless they have forgot to mention that the trend seen does not have enough level of confidence to be taken as actual fact; i.e. they could just be seeing a trend in the noise.. hmm Remember the old saying "Lies, Dam Lies and Statistics" - figures based on statistically methods without confidence intervals aren't worth the paper their printed on.

Also if one looks at the WMO COP 16 page their actual report that they made their announcement from has yet to be made available - how on Earth can you make statements like they did and not publish the actual report? Afraid its going to get shot to pieces??

Until they actually show the maths, method and data sources behind the report, this should be taken with a very large pinch of salt indeed. Although we do know that NOAA is involved, and given their past record for fudging warming out of thin air it looks like another bad statistical model driven warming. Also the timing of the release of the report to coincide with COP 16 does not bode well for this being an unbiased analysis of the climate system.