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  • ICOADS – Hawaii 2 days ago
    I did a quick analysis using a random effects model to calculate monthly “anomalies” as a residual allowing separate random effects for month(MO), deck (DCK) and country (C1) using the lme4 package as follows...
  • The ecotard media – led, naturally enough, by the Guardian – has been making great play of “Skeptical Environmentalist” Bjorn Lomborg’s apparent Damascene conversion...
  • A First Look at ICOADS Tue, 31 Aug 10, 7:27am
    For quite a while, I’ve urged people interested in gridded temperatures to really look at the SST data – realdata not adjusted data. SST makes up 2/3 of the record, but temperature critics spend 99.99% of their...
  • Back from Erice Tue, 31 Aug 10, 1:28am
    Got back from the annual WFS conference at Erice, Sicily a couple of days ago. It is an interdisciplinary conference on world issues, in which climate is only a part, but an important part. As in previous visits, it was a...
  • Tar and Z Tue, 31 Aug 10, 2:45am
    Over the weekend (before I picked up my “regular” files), I started looking at Steve Mosher’s use of raster and zoo – both of which intrigue me a great deal, but got intrigued by something else and...
  • Is Armagh Burning? Sun, 29 Aug 10, 6:35pm
    Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Anthony has highlighted a study by Coughlin and Butler. Their study says that there is little or no urban warming (urban heat island, or UHI) in the temperature record from the Armagh Observatory...
  • Kriging on a Geoid Fri, 27 Aug 10, 4:24am
    Geoff Sherrington and others on the First Difference Method post have requested a post for discussing Kriging. I am new to Kriging myself, so please correct me if I make any errors here. Steve McIntyre (who may be on the...
  • Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In “Another day, overshot to hell” Anthony Watts commented on the “Overshoot Day” promoted by Mathis Wackernagel and the Global Footprint Network (GFN)...
  • Foreword: The focus of this essay is strictly altitude placement/change of GHCN stations. While challenge and debate of the topic is encouraged, please don’t let the discussion drift into other side issues. As noted...
  • The First Difference Method Fri, 20 Aug 10, 12:36pm
    Over on WUWT (http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/07/13/calculating-global-temperature/), Zeke Hausfarther and Steven Mosher have been discussing the calculation of global temperature from station data. They list several methods...
  • Dr. Curry Warms the Southern Ocean Wed, 18 Aug 10, 1:15pm
    Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Anthony has posted here on a new paper co-authored by Judith Curry of Georgia Tech, entitled “Accelerated warming of the Southern Ocean and its impacts on the hydrological cycle and sea...
  • Erice 2010 Wed, 18 Aug 10, 7:39am
    I’m off to Sicily tonight for the 2010 conference of the World Federation of Scientists, hosted by the redoubtable Antonio Zichichi. I’ll be a bit spotty checking in. I never did finish reporting on the 2009 conference...
  • Briggs on McShane and Wyner Tue, 17 Aug 10, 11:34pm
    As usual, a good analysis from Matt Briggs here
  • The Guardian Fails Their O-Levels Mon, 16 Aug 10, 4:31am
    By Steve Goddard CRU Temperature Anomalies Yesterday, the Guardian reported : Meteorologists have developed remarkably effective techniques for predicting global climate changes caused by greenhouse gases...
  • Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach When people say that we understand the unbelievably complex climate system well enough to project scenarios out a hundred years, I point out that new things are being discovered every week...
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