16032016
2016 February temperature uptick caused by El Niño
By Eco Guy
8:39pm 16th March 2016
The AGW alarmists seem to think the Feb 2016 sudden uptick in temperature is caused by Co2, this is not the case, its a strong El Niño - as it matches what has happened before.
Given the current screaming and shouting going on in the media with respect to the February 2016 temperature increase in the GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index, you would be forgiven for thinking the end is nigh - well it isn't. This has happened before and we survived without issue - its called a strong El Niño.
This can be proven to be nothing unusual in the cycle by the following two charts:
![](https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress.com/2016/03/figure-5-giss-1-month-change.png?w=720)
The above chart shows the changes differences one month from the next, as can be seen by the red line, the February jump is nothing odd.
![](https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress.com/2016/03/figure-7-giss-loti-evolutions-97-98-and-15-16-el-ninos.png?w=720)
Now the above charts show how this El Niño compares to the previous one in 1997/1998 - looks pretty similar doesn't it? Now if you take into account the uncertainties (error bars), and mentally put a +/- band of 0.17 degrees around each line plot - they overlap each other considerably - thereby they are statistically similar...
In short:
The February uptick in temperature is nothing more than a strong El Niño impacting on the monthly temperature measurements - i.e. business as usual.
For more detailed background info I refer you to this
article.