amo, Tag

...the supposed AMOC tipping point will not occur until 1758 years from now, in the year 3782 AD

All these changes were the result of natural processes. There is no evidence that these will change in future.

“[I]f these models cannot reproduce past variations, why should we be so confident about their ability to predict the future?”

ANY estimate of the timing of a “tipping point” must take the uncertainties into account, which are so substantial that they are all unsound when made.

Data collected directly in the Atlantic Ocean thus do not provide any support for the IPCC's forecasts of an ongoing collapse of the AMOC.

Sorry Buddy. She's out of your league.

“Nonetheless, we should be aware of the risk of intense cold surges in Eurasia, which could also produce more cold extremes either in eastern or northeastern China,” Fang warns.

By contrast, recent empirical studies have challenged the “weakening” hypothesis.

“There are real red flags — warning signs — right now for these puffins.  They’re the proverbial canary in the coal mines for our oceans.” 

A recent flurry of scientific publications refute climate model claims of a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC).

All evaluations indicate that since the beginning of the 20th century, natural fluctuations have been the primary reason for this cooling. 

Yes, the number of major Atlantic hurricanes has increased in the last four decades, but this is because of the AMO, not climate change, as NOAA explain:

While AMOC variability off the southern USA is dominated by the impact of winds, variability in the North Atlantic is generated by the combined effects of winds, heat and freshwater anomalies...

So the myth of the maritime, equable climate brought to Europe by the Gulf Stream really needs to be seen for what it is – a myth. It is perhaps appropriate to the British Isles and Scandinavia, but certainly not to...

A new study analyzes patterns of natural rainfall variability and can provide crucial assistance to African countries in seasonal rainfall forecasting for agriculture and protection against droughts & heavy rains.