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- Is Warming Accelerating in the Troposphere? Thu, 20 Apr 23, 11:00am...the new NOAA data do not support a claim that warming in the troposphere has undergone a statistically-significant change in trend.
- Colorful fluid dynamics” and overconfidence in global climate models Sat, 3 Dec 22, 5:00amThis situation is related to the replication crisis in science generally, whereby much of the literature is affected by selection and positive results bias.
- Inside The Bayesian Priory Sun, 27 Dec 20, 9:00amAnyone who thinks that a description of reality is only worthwhile if it matches the output of absurdly simplistic climate models is not worth my time to investigate.
- Tendency, Convenient Mistakes, and the Importance of Physical Reasoning. Mon, 2 Mar 20, 5:00amby Pat Frank Last February 7, statistician Richard Booth, Ph.D. (hereinafter, Rich) posted a very long critique titled, What do you mean by “mean”: an essay on black boxes, emulators, and uncertainty” which is very...
- Contemporary climatic analogs for 540 North American urban areas in the late 21st century Thu, 14 Feb 19, 9:00amI guess sometimes you just have to throw the officially acknowledged lack of regional skill for GCM’s out the window~ctm From Nature Communications Abstract A major challenge in articulating human dimensions of climate...
- Does a new paper really reconcile instrumental and model-based climate sensitivity estimates? Sat, 8 Jul 17, 8:49pmA guest post by Nic Lewis A new paper in Science Advances by Cristian Proistosescu and Peter Huybers “Slow climate mode reconciles historical and model-based estimates of climate sensitivity” (hereafter PH17)...
- The Best Test of Downscaling Tue, 6 Jan 15, 10:05amGuest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a recent issue of Science magazine there was a “Perspective” article entitled “Projecting regional change” (paywalled here) This is the opening: Techniques to downscale global...
- Mechanical Models Mon, 2 Dec 13, 6:25pmGuest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve continued my peregrinations following the spoor of the global climate model data cited in my last post. This was data from 19 global climate models. There are two parts to the data,...