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- Uncertain Certainty: Germany’s Potsdam Climate Institute Humiliated After One-Year El Nino Forecast Model Flops Mon, 16 Nov 20, 1:00pmLast year Germany’s Potsdam Institute (PIK) boasted that it had a superior El Niño one-year forecasting model, claiming 80% certainty. Today, a year later, its forecast emerges totally wrong and the prestigious institute...
- After nearly a decade away, La Niña weather system is back… Mon, 2 Nov 20, 9:00amAccording to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), La Niña is back in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, after nearly a decade’s absence.
- Upcoming La Nina Winter: Cooler and Wetter than Normal Sun, 9 Aug 20, 11:00amThere comes a point during mid-summer when the veil of uncertainty lifts regarding the nature of the upcoming winter season and we are at that point now.
- La Nina may form in the equatorial Pacific Ocean later this year and, if so, it could have wide-ranging ramifications Sat, 29 Feb 20, 5:00amBy Paul Dorian NOAA’s CFS v2 computer forecast model is predicting relatively strong La Nina conditions by later this summer (August/September/October); SST anomalies plot courtesy NOAA *La Nina may form in the equatorial...
- A Weak El Nino Transitioning to La Nada Sun, 16 Feb 20, 9:00pmReposted from the Cliff Mass Weather Blog Friday, February 14, 2020 A Weak El Nino Transitioning to La Nada During the past few months we have moved from near neutral conditions (La Nada) to a weak El Nino (warmer than normal...
- Scientists link La Niña climate cycle to increased diarrhea Thu, 2 Jan 20, 1:00amColumbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health A study in Botswana by Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health scientists finds that spikes in cases of life-threatening diarrhea in young children are...
- Does the Climate System Have a Preferred Average State? Chaos and the Forcing-Feedback Paradigm Sun, 27 Oct 19, 8:00amReposted from Dr. Roy Spencer’s website October 25th, 2019 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. NOTE: I have written on this subject before, but it is important enough that we need to keep thinking about it. It is also related to...
- El Niño is dwindling, but anti-Niño is coming for us next Sat, 20 Feb 16, 3:14amIt is all over too soon. After weirding out weather all around the world, this winter's monstrous El Niño may be on its way out. Though more data is still forthcoming, the NOAA has described this year's El Niño as at...
- There’s an 80% Chance that El Nino Will Hit Between October and November Fri, 27 Jun 14, 10:00pmThe past few years have seen weather extremes around the globe - and it looks like we won’t be catching a break this year, either. Scientists predict there's an 80 percent chance that El Nino will hit sometime between October...
- Could a Monster El Niño Wreak Havoc in 2014? Tue, 15 Apr 14, 10:00pmEl Niño became infamous when it killed an estimated 23,000 people and caused tens of billions of dollars worth of damage in 1997 and 1998 - and according to scientists, we could experience another El Niño of that magnitude...
- Could a Monster El Niño Wreck Havoc in 2014? Tue, 15 Apr 14, 10:00pmEl Niño become infamous when it killed an estimated 23,000 people and caused tens of billions of dollars worth of damage in 1997 and 1998 - and according to scientists, we could experience another El Niño of that magnitude...
- New study claims low solar activity caused “the pause” in global temperature – but AGW will return! Tue, 14 Jan 14, 12:15pmThis is on a tip from Dr. Leif Svalgaard, WUWT’s resident solar expert. It was just published in the journal Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, and is open access. I found this study’s conclusion a bit amusing,...
- Why The Global Warming ‘Pause’ Hasn’t Gone Away Wed, 20 Nov 13, 7:32amFrom the GWPF By Dr David Whitehouse This new paper does not affect the fact that the temperature databases, with their own allowances for data-free regions, show no warming for 16-years, or at the very least no warming for...
- another paper blames ENSO for global warming pause, calling it ‘… a major control knob governing Earth’s temperature.’ Tue, 3 Sep 13, 5:01pmReaders may recall the recent paper that blamed “the pause” in global temperature on ENSO changes in the Pacific Ocean. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling Yu Kosaka & Shang-Ping...
- ‘Mind blowing paper’ blames ENSO for Global Warming Hiatus Thu, 29 Aug 13, 10:00amNote: Dr. Judith Curry also has an essay on this important paper. She writes: My mind has been blown by a new paper just published in Nature. Just when I least expected it, after a busy day when I took … Continue reading...