uncertainty, Tag

  • by Nic Lewis Obviously doubtful claims about new research regarding ocean content reveal how unquestioning Nature, climate scientists and the MSM are. On November 1st there was extensive coverage in the mainstream media[i]...
  • The lure of incredible certitude Sun, 2 Sep 18, 12:15am
    by Judith Curry “If you want people to believe what you *do* know, you need to be up front about what you *don’t* know.”-  Charles Manski Twitter is great for networking.  My recent article Climate Uncertainty...
  • Uncertainty in climate projections Tue, 21 Aug 18, 5:40am
    by Judith Curry My article Climate Uncertainty and Risk has now been published in the Summer 2018 edition of CLIVAR Variations. About the U.S. CLIVAR program: US Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) is a national...
  • by Judith Curry A remarkable essay by  esteemed oceanographer Carl Wunsch. While doing a literature survey for my paper on Climate Uncertainty and Risk, I came across a remarkable paper published in 2010 by MIT oceanographer...
  • Climate uncertainty & risk Mon, 9 Jul 18, 2:12am
    by Judith Curry I’ve been invited to write an article on climate uncertainty and risk. It’s been about 5  years since I’ve written a new article on this topic; this article provides my current perspectives...
  • by Judith Curry In private, climate scientists are much less certain than they tell the public. – Rupert Darwall Rupert Darwall has written a tour-de-force essay “A Veneer of Certainty Stoking Climate Alarm“,...
  • So What Happened to the Philosophy? Guest essay by John Ridgway Many years ago, when I was studying at university, an old joke was doing the rounds in the corridors of the physics department: Question: What is the difference...
  • Guest Essay by Kip Hansen   Introduction: Temperature and Water Level (MSL) are two hot topic measurements being widely bandied about and vast sums of money are being invested in research to determine whether, on a global...
  • From the GWPF. “This documentary has all the ingredients to become a milestone in the debate on climate change” – is what Science journalist Jan Jakobs wrote after seeing the 90 minutes documentary `The Uncertainty...
  • by Vincent Randall A perspective on economists’ grappling with the ‘uncertainty monster.’ In this essay I am going to try to introduce non-economists who work in fields where they are first coming into contact...
  • by Judith Curry The many dimensions of the climate uncertainty monster. Bret Stephens’ climate change op-ed of several weeks ago Climate of Complete Certainty spawned a number of articles related to uncertainty and...
  • The ‘threat’ of climate change Mon, 30 Jan 17, 3:21am
    by Judith Curry A major disconnect in the discourse surrounding climate change is interpretation of the ‘threat’ of climate change. Last week I attended the annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society...
  • by Judith Curry Ergo, we should build down CO2 emissions, even regardless of what climate-models tell us. – Nassim Taleb Nassim Taleb has posted an essay entitled Climate models and precautionary measures.  Its short,...
  • A War Against Fire Sat, 2 Jan 16, 12:03pm
    by Judith Curry The most savage controversies are those as to which there is no good evidence either way. -Bertrand Russell Bishop Hill points to a 1990 essay by Russell Seitz that was a response to Jim Hansen’s Congressional...
  • Guest Essay by Kip Hansen     “…we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” –...
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