uncertainty, Tag

  • 100 Years Later: The Flu Fri, 22 Feb 19, 8:00pm
    Guest Essay by Kip Hansen One hundred years have passed since the Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918 swept around the world, circumnavigating at least twice between 1918 and 1920, killing outright between 50 and 100 million...
  • KEVIN KILTY Introduction A guest blogger recently1 made an analysis of the twice per day sampling of maximum and minimum temperature and its relationship to Nyquist rate, in an attempt to refute some common thinking...
  • Guest post by Nick Stokes, Every now and then, in climate blogging, one hears a refrain that the traditional min/max daily temperature can’t be used because it “violates Nyquist”...
  • From the “we’re gonna need a bigger computer” department. Climate model uncertainties ripe to be squeezed The latest climate models and observations offer unprecedented opportunities to reduce the remaining...
  • by Judith Curry “You can say I don’t believe in gravity. But if you step off the cliff you are going down. So we can say I don’t believe climate is changing, but it is based on science.” – Katherine...
  • by Judith Curry Draft of article to be submitted for journal publication. Well, I hope you are not overdosing on the issue of sea level rise.  But this paper is somewhat different, a philosophy of science paper.  Sort of...
  • By Nic Lewis There have been further interesting developments in this story Introduction The Resplandy et al. (2018) ocean heat uptake study (henceforth Resplandy18) is based on measured changes in the O2/N2 ratio (δO2/N2)...
  • By Nic Lewis Introduction The Resplandy et al. (2018) ocean heat uptake study (henceforth Resplandy18) is based on measured changes in the O2/N2 ratio of air sampled each year, compared to air stored in high pressure tanks...
  • by Nic Lewis Obviously doubtful claims about new research regarding ocean content reveal how unquestioning Nature, climate scientists and the MSM are. On November 1st there was extensive coverage in the mainstream media[i]...
  • The lure of incredible certitude Sun, 2 Sep 18, 12:15am
    by Judith Curry “If you want people to believe what you *do* know, you need to be up front about what you *don’t* know.”-  Charles Manski Twitter is great for networking.  My recent article Climate Uncertainty...
  • Uncertainty in climate projections Tue, 21 Aug 18, 5:40am
    by Judith Curry My article Climate Uncertainty and Risk has now been published in the Summer 2018 edition of CLIVAR Variations. About the U.S. CLIVAR program: US Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) is a national...
  • by Judith Curry A remarkable essay by  esteemed oceanographer Carl Wunsch. While doing a literature survey for my paper on Climate Uncertainty and Risk, I came across a remarkable paper published in 2010 by MIT oceanographer...
  • Climate uncertainty & risk Mon, 9 Jul 18, 2:12am
    by Judith Curry I’ve been invited to write an article on climate uncertainty and risk. It’s been about 5  years since I’ve written a new article on this topic; this article provides my current perspectives...
  • by Judith Curry In private, climate scientists are much less certain than they tell the public. – Rupert Darwall Rupert Darwall has written a tour-de-force essay “A Veneer of Certainty Stoking Climate Alarm“,...
  • So What Happened to the Philosophy? Guest essay by John Ridgway Many years ago, when I was studying at university, an old joke was doing the rounds in the corridors of the physics department: Question: What is the difference...
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