uncertainty, Tag

  • The lure of incredible certitude Sun, 2 Sep 18, 12:15am
    by Judith Curry “If you want people to believe what you *do* know, you need to be up front about what you *don’t* know.”-  Charles Manski Twitter is great for networking.  My recent article Climate Uncertainty...
  • Uncertainty in climate projections Tue, 21 Aug 18, 5:40am
    by Judith Curry My article Climate Uncertainty and Risk has now been published in the Summer 2018 edition of CLIVAR Variations. About the U.S. CLIVAR program: US Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) is a national...
  • by Judith Curry A remarkable essay by  esteemed oceanographer Carl Wunsch. While doing a literature survey for my paper on Climate Uncertainty and Risk, I came across a remarkable paper published in 2010 by MIT oceanographer...
  • Climate uncertainty & risk Mon, 9 Jul 18, 2:12am
    by Judith Curry I’ve been invited to write an article on climate uncertainty and risk. It’s been about 5  years since I’ve written a new article on this topic; this article provides my current perspectives...
  • by Judith Curry In private, climate scientists are much less certain than they tell the public. – Rupert Darwall Rupert Darwall has written a tour-de-force essay “A Veneer of Certainty Stoking Climate Alarm“,...
  • So What Happened to the Philosophy? Guest essay by John Ridgway Many years ago, when I was studying at university, an old joke was doing the rounds in the corridors of the physics department: Question: What is the difference...
  • Guest Essay by Kip Hansen   Introduction: Temperature and Water Level (MSL) are two hot topic measurements being widely bandied about and vast sums of money are being invested in research to determine whether, on a global...
  • From the GWPF. “This documentary has all the ingredients to become a milestone in the debate on climate change” – is what Science journalist Jan Jakobs wrote after seeing the 90 minutes documentary `The Uncertainty...
  • by Vincent Randall A perspective on economists’ grappling with the ‘uncertainty monster.’ In this essay I am going to try to introduce non-economists who work in fields where they are first coming into contact...
  • by Judith Curry The many dimensions of the climate uncertainty monster. Bret Stephens’ climate change op-ed of several weeks ago Climate of Complete Certainty spawned a number of articles related to uncertainty and...
  • The ‘threat’ of climate change Mon, 30 Jan 17, 3:21am
    by Judith Curry A major disconnect in the discourse surrounding climate change is interpretation of the ‘threat’ of climate change. Last week I attended the annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society...
  • by Judith Curry Ergo, we should build down CO2 emissions, even regardless of what climate-models tell us. – Nassim Taleb Nassim Taleb has posted an essay entitled Climate models and precautionary measures.  Its short,...
  • A War Against Fire Sat, 2 Jan 16, 12:03pm
    by Judith Curry The most savage controversies are those as to which there is no good evidence either way. -Bertrand Russell Bishop Hill points to a 1990 essay by Russell Seitz that was a response to Jim Hansen’s Congressional...
  • Guest Essay by Kip Hansen     “…we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” –...
  • WUWT readers may remember ultra climate activist David Roberts, a self described “climate hawk” who wrote regularly for Grist, and became so burned out he had to take a year off from the “climate wars”...
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