Under pressure from 40 skeptical members, the Royal Society has had to modify a recent report on climate change to more properly reflect the degree of uncertainly in our understanding of the climate and future predictions. See here and here for more coverage.
The new guide says: “The size of future temperature increases and other aspects of climate change, especially at the regional scale, are still subject to uncertainty.”
The Royal Society even appears to criticize scientists who have made predictions about heat waves and rising sea levels. It now says: “There is little confidence in specific projections of future regional climate change, except at continental scales.”
It adds: “It is not possible to determine exactly how much the Earth will warm or exactly how the climate will change in the future.
“There remains the possibility that hitherto unknown aspects of the climate and climate change could emerge and lead to significant modifications in our understanding.”Basically, this is a far more balanced representation of our current state of understanding of climatic processes and hence the accuracy that can be obtained from future models of climate. Hopefully this will lead to other scientists coming forward and expressing their agreement with this more scientifically sound position.
Got a question or comment about this?Find what you were looking for?.. Not quite what you expected?.. Got a question to ask people?
Share your thoughts and use the form below to post a public comment right on this page.